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SOURCE-LINKED STUDY SUMMARY

Liraglutide & Prediabetes: What the 3-Year Trial Found

Original publication: 3 years of liraglutide versus placebo for type 2 diabetes risk reduction and weight management in individuals with prediabetes: a randomised, double-blind trial.

Lancet (London, England) ·

Human

PED EVIDENCE INTERPRETATION

Did liraglutide delay diabetes in people with prediabetes?

During treatment, diabetes was diagnosed in 2% of liraglutide participants versus 6% on placebo by 160 weeks. Only half of randomized participants completed follow-up, and those who withdrew were not followed after discontinuation. [1]

Design
Double-blind randomized trial; 2,254 participants
Population
Adults with prediabetes and obesity, or overweight with comorbidities
Comparison
Daily subcutaneous liraglutide 3.0 mg vs placebo; both with diet and activity support
Duration
160 weeks

The evidence at a glance

Outcomes during the 3-year treatment period [1]
OutcomeLiraglutidePlaceboInterpretation
Diabetes diagnosed on treatment [1]26/1,472 (2%)46/738 (6%)Hazard ratio 0.21; 95% CI 0.13–0.34
Body-weight change [1]−6.1%−1.9%Estimated difference −4.3 percentage points; 95% CI −4.9 to −3.7
Serious adverse events [1]15%13%Descriptive incidence; does not establish equivalence
Withdrew before week 160 [1]47%55%Missing follow-up is central to interpretation

Diabetes counts, safety denominators and randomized group sizes differ. These are not all measurements of the same analysis population. The published model estimate need not equal subtraction of rounded weight changes.

OUR READING OF THE EVIDENCE

What this changes

The randomized comparison supports delayed diabetes diagnosis during the studied treatment period in this population. [1]

What it does not establish

The result does not establish permanent prevention after stopping treatment. Missing outcomes after withdrawal leave uncertainty about the long-term trajectory. [1]

Put it in context

Sources and transparency

Interpretation added . Primary publication abstract, with results and limitations checked against the indexed source. Full tables and supplementary materials were not independently reviewed.

Funded by Novo Nordisk. Abstract-based interpretation; not an independent assessment of all adverse events or methodological quality. [1]

  1. 3 years of liraglutide versus placebo for type 2 diabetes risk reduction and weight management in individuals with prediabetes: a randomised, double-blind trial.DOI 10.1016/s0140-6736(17)30069-7 · Primary abstract: methods, outcomes and funding

AI-assisted editorial analysis by PED Evidence. Sources are linked for verification; no independent clinician review or formal risk-of-bias assessment is claimed. Studied exposures describe the research, not a recommended regimen. Editorial and correction policy.

Questions this study helps answer

Does this prove diabetes was permanently prevented?

No. The reported benefit concerns diagnoses during treatment. It does not establish permanent prevention after stopping liraglutide. [1]

Why is the dropout rate important?

Missing outcomes can change how well a result represents everyone originally randomized. People who withdrew were not followed after discontinuation, which limits conclusions beyond those observed. [1]

Original compact summary and study details
Abstract summarizedQuality not appraised
What was studied
A randomized, double-blind human trial compared liraglutide with placebo. The primary outcome was time to type 2 diabetes by 160 weeks.
Who / model studied
2254 adults with prediabetes and obesity, or overweight with additional conditions, were randomized.
Studied dose & schedule
Participants received subcutaneous liraglutide 3.0 mg or matched placebo daily, alongside reduced-calorie eating and increased activity.
What the study found
Diabetes was diagnosed during treatment in 2% versus 6%. Weight fell 6.1 versus 1.9 percent at 160 weeks. Serious adverse events occurred in 15% versus 13%.
Limitations & context
Participants who withdrew were not followed after stopping treatment, limiting interpretation of outcomes beyond continued treatment.

Read summary source ↗ · Prepared 9/23/2026 · AI-assisted, source-based summary

Review record & corrections

Summary prepared: . Source scope: abstract. This is an AI-assisted source summary, not an independent clinician sign-off.

No public field-by-field revision history is available for this card yet. The date above is the summary date, not proof that every field was updated then.

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Research findings apply to the population and conditions studied. This educational summary is not a treatment recommendation or a formal assessment of study quality.

Original publication ↗ · DOI: 10.1016/s0140-6736(17)30069-7

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